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| Titre : | The Future of Employment |
| Auteurs : | Carl Benedikt Frey ; Osborne Michael A |
| Type de document : | document électronique |
| Editeur : | Oxford : University of Oxford, 2013 |
| Format : | 72 p. |
| Langues: | Anglais |
| Catégories : |
Thésaurus CEREQ EMPLOI ; MUTATION TECHNOLOGIQUE ; INFORMATISATION ; PROSPECTIVE D'EMPLOI ; INEGALITE SALARIALE ; ECONOMIE INDUSTRIELLE ; RECONVERSION INDUSTRIELLE ; TRAVAIL ; BESOIN EN MAIN D'OEUVRE ; SITUATION DU MARCHE DU TRAVAIL ; ECONOMETRIE ; ETATS UNIS |
| Résumé : | We examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation. To assess this, we begin by implementing a novel methodology to estimate the probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, using a Gaussian process classifier. Based on these estimates, we examine expected impacts of future computerisation on US labour market outcomes, with the primary objective of analysing the number of jobs at risk and the relationship between an occupation’s probability of computerisation, wages and educational attainment. According to our estimates, about 47 percent of total US employment is at risk. We further provide evidence that wages and educational attainment exhibit a strong negative relationship with an occupation’s probability of computerisation. |
| Document Céreq : | Non |
| En ligne : | https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwie7-qd0-jgAhWCxIUKHb1GADsQFjAAegQIBxAC&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk%2Fdownloads%2Facademic%2FThe_Future_of_Employment.pdf&usg=AOvVaw0VvdlXgi9GiMLopmPQ |
Documents numériques (1)
 the_Future_of_employment.pdf Adobe Acrobat PDF |
