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Titre : | Innovating for the good or for the bad. An EU-wide analysis of the impact of technological transformation on job polarisation and unemployment |
Auteurs : | Ylenia Curci ; Nathalie Greenan ; Silvia Napolitano |
Type de document : | document Ă©lectronique |
Editeur : | Marne-la-Vallée : Théorie et Evaluation des Politiques Publiques (TEPP), 2024 |
Collection : | Working Papers, num. 2024-2 |
Format : | 30 p |
Langues: | Anglais |
Catégories : |
ThĂ©saurus CEREQ MUTATION TECHNOLOGIQUE ; INNOVATION ; EMPLOI ; SALAIRE ; CHOMAGE ; RECHERCHE-DEVELOPPEMENT ; INVESTISSEMENT IMMATERIEL ; GESTION DES CONNAISSANCES ; FONCTION INFORMATION ; ORGANISATION QUALIFIANTE ; ECONOMETRIE ; MODELISATION ; EUROPEOrganisme CitĂ© EUâLFS - European Labour Force Survey ; EWCS - European Working Conditions Survey |
Mots-clés: | Polarisation des emplois |
Résumé : | This article investigates the impact of the technological transformation on two labour market outcomes: within sector job polarisation and unemployment. We define the technological trans- formation as the relationship between different innovation inputs that increase the stock of knowledge within companies (R&D, digital technologies and the learning capacity of the or- ganisation) and innovation outputs (product, process, organisational or marketing innovation). We build an EU-wide database that integrates, at the sector-country level, four data sources (two employer-level and two employee-level surveys). Using Structural Equation Modelling, we examine the direct effect of innovation inputs on labour market outcomes as well as the effect mediated by innovation outputs. The findings reveal that the effects on the labour market outcomes of investments in Digital technology adoption and use are fully mediated by innova- tion outputs. By contrast, mediation is either partial or nil for the Learning capacity of the or- ganisation. Notably, the Learning capacity of the organisation directly protects against unem- ployment and, in the longer run, against occupational downgrading. In addition, two types of innovation appear to be key determinants of the labour market impacts of the technological transformation, since they will either be beneficial or detrimental to employees. Product inno- vation is for the good, as it mediates positively the relationship between innovation inputs and labour market outcomes while marketing innovation is for the bad, as its mediation effect is opposite. |
Document Céreq : | Non |
En ligne : | https://www.tepp.eu/images/pdf/working-paper-2024/impacttechnologicaltransformationjobpolarisationunemployment1.pdf |
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impacttechnologicaltransformationjobpolarisationunemployment1.pdf Adobe Acrobat PDF |